{"id":8229,"date":"2015-11-18T08:45:49","date_gmt":"2015-11-18T08:45:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aksalmonalliance.org\/staging1\/?p=8229"},"modified":"2015-11-18T08:45:49","modified_gmt":"2015-11-18T08:45:49","slug":"adfgs-2016-upper-cook-inlet-sockeye-salmon-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aksalmonalliance.org\/staging1\/2015\/11\/18\/adfgs-2016-upper-cook-inlet-sockeye-salmon-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"ADF&G’S 2016 Upper Cook Inlet sockeye salmon FORECAST"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cook Inlet sockeye forecast predicts growth<\/strong><\/p>\n

Posted:<\/strong> November 17, 2015 – 9:09pm<\/p>\n

By ELIZABETH EARL<\/a><\/p>\n

Peninsula Clarion<\/p>\n

The Alaska Department of Fish and Game predicts that the Upper Cook Inlet will see a total run of 7.1 million sockeye salmon in 2016.<\/p>\n

The prediction is more than 800,000 fish greater than last year\u2019s total run, according to Fish and Game records. Last year\u2019s run was slightly higher than the forecast and the latest run on record, with its midpoint landing on July 25.<\/p>\n

However, the commercial harvest was less than the 2005-2014 average, landing at approximately 2.6 million sockeye salmon. It is the sixth lowest harvest in the last decade, according to Fish and Game\u2019s 2015 season summary.<\/p>\n

The 2016 forecast predicts a commercial harvest of approximately 4.1 million fish, 1.1 million more than the 20-year harvest average. About 1.2 million sockeye are estimated to be taken in other harvests for a total of 5.3 million.<\/p>\n

The forecasts are based on a number of models that take into account the number of fry in the freshwater lakes where the sockeye lay their eggs. Fish and Game biologists count the number of fish in a particular age group in any given year and base their predictions for the following year on the size of an age cohort, called a sibling model.<\/p>\n

This is not the only model they use, though, said Pat Shields, the commercial area manager in the Soldotna Fish and Game office. The researchers who do the predictions look at a number of models, determine which one is most accurate and use that to calculate the forecast for the following year, he said.<\/p>\n

The Kasilof River and the Susitna River are predicted to see lower runs than the 20-year average, with 861,000 fish running to the Kasilof and 372,000 to the Susitna. Fish Creek is predicted to see a higher run than the 20-year average, with 110,00 fish.<\/p>\n

However, more than half of the run is predicted to go to the Kenai River \u2014 4.7 million fish. The Kenai River is also the largest source of the king salmon run. The late-run king salmon peak around mid-July as well.<\/p>\n

Read the rest of the article here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

See ADF&G’s sockeye forecast report here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cook Inlet sockeye forecast predicts growth Posted: November 17, 2015 – 9:09pm By ELIZABETH EARL Peninsula Clarion The Alaska Department of Fish and Game predicts that the Upper Cook Inlet will see a total run of 7.1 million sockeye salmon in 2016. The prediction is more than 800,000 fish greater than last year\u2019s total run, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8229","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"\nADF&G'S 2016 Upper Cook Inlet sockeye salmon FORECAST - Alaska Salmon Alliance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aksalmonalliance.org\/staging1\/2015\/11\/18\/adfgs-2016-upper-cook-inlet-sockeye-salmon-forecast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ADF&G'S 2016 Upper Cook Inlet sockeye salmon FORECAST - Alaska Salmon Alliance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Cook Inlet sockeye forecast predicts growth Posted: November 17, 2015 – 9:09pm By ELIZABETH EARL Peninsula Clarion The Alaska Department of Fish and Game predicts that the Upper Cook Inlet will see a total run of 7.1 million sockeye salmon in 2016. 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